NEW CORONATION OF ANGELA MARKEL
BERLIN - At the height of its popularity despite nine years in power, Chancellor Angela Merkel should be sacred again Tuesday at the head of the German Conservative Party (CDU) that she crushes his personality.
One point almost to the agenda of the congress of the Christian Democratic Union in Cologne from Wednesday to Tuesday: Merkel! "This will be a plebiscite for the chancellor," said AFP Tilman Mayer political scientist at the University of Bonn. "The delegates will give their blessing to its policy," he said.
President for 14 years of a pillar of the German party politics after the war, Angela Merkel, 60, is the only candidate to succeed him.
Under these conditions, the congress "will turn around the Chancellor and his success," also notes Jens Walther, from the University of Düsseldorf.
During his last re-election as leader of the CDU in 2012, she had a personal high score (97.94% of the vote) since his arrival at the top of the party in 2000 at the end of the Kohl era.
Since the ruling began a third term as Chancellor with popularity still at the zenith. It collects 67% positive ratings in the latest monthly barometer of public broadcaster ARD and seem unrivaled for parliamentary elections in 2017 if it was run again ...
The Bundestag, the Chamber of Deputies, the CDU has alone almost half the seats (311 of 631 seats), against 193 for the Social Democratic Party (SPD).
Stress at the end of September 2013 legislative form a "grand coalition" with the Social Democratic rival, also reaping the benefits of this "marriage of convenience" that meets 53% of Germans, according to a survey institute Infratest-dimap.
"No debate"
In the German political landscape, "is currently a climate of great peace," Tilman Mayer analysis. "Germany can envy for peaceful climate because it can govern quietly here, but one wonders if the long-term is good not carry any debate," he nuance.
In a Europe in crisis, Merkel has managed to impose its views by forcing indebted countries to the south of drastic austerity measures that have sometimes knee population and met with strong opposition.
"Merkel has a strong presence internationally" in the conflict in Ukraine, where it has almost become the only interlocutor of Russian President Vladimir Putin. "It also reinforces his image" with the Germans, according to Mayer.
Little debate now animate the Conservative party that has yet made major ideological shifts with Merkel, especially with a family policy that encourages more women's work or the abandonment of nuclear power.
"It feels a little reign an atmosphere of politicization: it is not uncontroversial, but it says" all is well "," says Mayer.
Only downside: the rise of the anti-euro party Alternative for Germany (AFD), which has just entered three regional parliaments in the east. This new formation, which advocates withdrawal from the euro, occupies right field vacated by the CDU since she refocused, analysts said.
The Chancellor has ruled out any alliance with AFD and there is little chance they will be discussed at the congress of the CDU. "The strategy of the CDU, it is to talk as little as possible so as not to give the AFD more importance than it has," observes Mr. Walther.
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